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5:55 PM ET, November 8, 2022

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
New York Times:
The Needle: Senate and House Forecast  —  Chance of winning Senate control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely  —  Chance of winning House control  —  No estimates yet  —  Very Likely Likely Leaning Tossup Leaning Likely Very Likely
RELATED:
Amy Walter / Cook Political Report:
Three Most Likely Scenarios for Tuesday  —  When it comes to possible outcomes on Tuesday night, I see three potential scenarios.  —  1. The Classic “Tsunami” Election  —  We can put the 1994/2006/2010 midterms into this category.  In this scenario, the bottom drops out for the party in the White House.
Sahil Kapur / NBC News:
Early bellwethers: Key races to watch once polls close on election night  —  Georgia, Ohio, Pennsylvania and other key races to watch on Election Day  —  The 2022 midterms are shaping up to culminate in an unpredictable election night, with recent surveys showing close fights in a host …
Zachary Faria / Washington Examiner:
Early return: The red wave rolls through Guam as Republicans pick up their first win  —  The red wave has begun on this Election Day, and it has capsized Guam's Democratic Party.  —  The U.S. territory sends one nonvoting delegate to Congress, and that delegate had always been a Democrat going back to 1993.
Nate Silver / FiveThirtyEight:
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It Started  —  Republicans are favored in the House.  The Senate is more competitive.  —  By Nate Silver  —  Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM  —  When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance …
Brooke Singman / Fox News:
Trump calls for Senate Republican leadership change, warns potential 2024 GOP candidates against running  —  Trump said Sen. Rick Scott should replace Mitch McConnell as Senate GOP leader, and warned DeSantis against running in 2024  —  Donald Trump: This is the ‘America First’ agenda
RELATED:
Wall Street Journal:
Trump Says It Would Be a Mistake for DeSantis to Run for the White House in 2024  —  Flying from Ohio to Florida aboard his remodeled Boeing 757, Donald Trump caught a glimpse of himself on television.  “A fine looking young man, a fine looking candidate,” he quipped to a handful of reporters.
Maggie Haberman / New York Times:
Trump Threatens to Reveal Unflattering Information About DeSantis if He Runs
Discussion: Fox News and WFLA-TV
Jonathan Martin / Politico:
Biden's and Trump's Performances on the 2022 Trail Sow Doubts About 2024
Kimberly Wehle / The Bulwark:
Case After Case After Case: The GOP Keeps Suing to Toss Out Midterm Ballots  —  “While it is easy to hurl accusations of violations of law and corruption, it is another matter to come forward and produce the evidence.”  —  The midterms have sparked debate as to whether this election is a referendum on the future of American democracy.
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Midterm elections live updates  —  Despite torrent of misinformation, voting unfolds relatively smoothly  —  Extremism trackers watching for political violence at the polls  —  Warnock ready to ‘soldier on’ if Senate race heads to runoff  —  Dispatch from Iowa: Abortion rights looms large for one voter
Washington Post:
Misinformation floods the midterms, at times urging violence
Discussion: Raw Story
The Philadelphia Inquirer:
Vote count in Philadelphia will take longer due to last-minute change; 3,500 flawed ballots can be fixed at City Hall today
Justin Rohrlich / The Daily Beast:
Trump Pounces on ‘Ordinary’ Voting Machine Issues in Arizona
Jeremy Barr / Washington Post:
‘Democracy is at stake’: TV news braces for election night chaos
Discussion: TheBlaze
Washington Post:
Florida, Missouri tell Justice Dept. voting monitors to stay outside polling places
CNN:
Biden readies for ‘a horrible two years’ if GOP takes control of Congress  —  These investigations will take center stage in a Republican-led House  —  CNN political director explains how election calls are made  —  Pelosi describes her experience following husband's attack that was intended for her
RELATED:
Polly Politico / Politico:
The 20 counties that will decide the midterms
Washington Post:
Republicans could deepen their war with corporate America
Discussion: Semafor
Rolling Stone:
Trump Keeps Musing About Journalists Being Raped in Prison — He's Not Joking  —  A knowledgeable source tells Rolling Stone that the former president has wondered how he might be able to jail reporters if he retakes the White House  —  DONALD TRUMP ENDED his pre-midterm rally blitz in disgusting fashion …
Politico:
Staff changes are coming to the White House.  Will Klain be part of them?  —  For the last several months, West Wing aides have quietly prepared for the next big transition point: the exodus of aides and Cabinet members that typically follows the midterm election.
Discussion: Political Wire
Nick R. Martin / The Informant:
Paul Gosar says Kari Lake might order military blockade of tribal land  —  The congressman floats the idea that Lake could order the National Guard to surround the Tohono O'odham Nation if she becomes Arizona governor.  —  In the days leading up to the 2022 election, Arizona Republican Congressman Paul Gosar …
Discussion: Vox, Raw Story, TIME and Washington Examiner
Lauren Pack / journal-news:
Court docs: Man charged in Okeana homicide admitted to shooting neighbor  —  A Morgan Twp. man charged with murder admitted to shooting and killing his neighbor in Okeana on Saturday, according to court documents.  —  Austin Gene Combs, 26, was booked into the Butler County Jail on Saturday night and charged with murder.
Discussion: Raw Story and Occupy Democrats
Daily Mail:
University of Kentucky student sobs in court after assaulting black desk clerk and call her ‘n*****’ 200 times before being bailed out by parents  — Sophia Rosing, 22, was arrested 4am on Sunday at a University of Kentucky dorm on public intoxication, assault and disorderly conduct charges
Discussion: The Daily Beast and New York Post
CNN:
House select committee has interviewed the driver of Trump's vehicle on January 6  —  The House select committee investigating January 6 on Monday interviewed the driver of then-President Donald Trump's presidential vehicle on the day of the US Capitol attack, multiple sources tell CNN.
Discussion: New York Post, Raw Story and NBC News
Annie Karni / New York Times:
Trump Says He Would Support Representative Kevin McCarthy for Speaker  —  The former president said that, if he runs for president and wins in 2024, Senator Mitch McConnell will “be out in two minutes.”  —  In an interview with Fox News, former President Donald J. Trump …
David Gilbert / VICE:
Meet the ‘Black Robe Regiment’ of Extremist Pastors Spreading Christian Nationalism  —  “There is a very serious spiritual battle we have and we don't have any problem with saying we are fighting things we can't see.”  —  David Gilbert  —  TO  —  PHOENIX — Days before the midterm elections …
Discussion: Raw Story
New York Times:
Investors Bet on Midterm Bounce for Stock Market  —  Stocks usually rise after midterm elections, but there are other concerns, from inflation to interest rates and even cryptocurrencies, clouding the outlook.  —  S&P 500  —  3,720  —  3,740  —  3,760  —  3,780  —  3,800  —  3,820
 
 
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 More Items: 
Carl Campanile / New York Post:
Pro-Eric Adams group donates $10K to Republican Lee Zeldin for governor on eve of Election Day
Discussion: Gothamist
Benjamin Harvey / Bloomberg:
Russia and US to Resume Nuclear Talks as Ukraine War Rages On
Discussion: CNN and The Hill
New York Times:
Midterms Live Updates: A Fraught Election Enters Its Final Hours
Davey Alba / Bloomberg:
A Guide to US Election Day Misinformation
New York Times:
The World Is Falling Short of Its Climate Goals. Four Big Emitters Show Why.
Discussion: The Hill
Charlie Sykes / Morning Shots:
Buckle Up  —  It's only going to get wilder  —  Join us tonight!
Discussion: Raw Story and Politico
Damien Cave / New York Times:
The World's Democracies Ask: Why Can't America Fix Itself?
Discussion: Fox News
Tim Miller / The Triad:
The Empress of Trollistan: Kari Lake Is Having the Time of Her Life
 Earlier Items: 
Sam Roberts / New York Times:
Ernie Lazar, Who Trawled for Secret Government Documents, Dies at 77
Bloomberg:
The US Northeast Is Hurtling Toward a Winter Heating Crisis
Wall Street Journal:
Ukraine's Zelensky Sets Conditions for ‘Genuine’ Peace Talks With Russia
Nate Cohn / New York Times:
Are the Polls Still Missing ‘Hidden’ Republicans? Here's What We're Doing to Find Out.
Discussion: HotAir
Lawrence Norden / Brennan Center for Justice:
Why Does It Take So Long to Count Mail Ballots in Key States? Blame Legislatures
Wall Street Journal:
China's Xi Jinping Plans Visit to Saudi Arabia Amid Global Reshuffling
Discussion: Sputnik News
 

 
From Techmeme:

Wall Street Journal:
Gina Raimondo says holding back China in the chips race is a “fool's errand”, and investment, more than export controls, will keep US ahead of Beijing

Reuters:
Albania bans TikTok for a year from January 2025, part of a broader plan to make schools safer following the killing of a 14-year-old near a school in November

Bloomberg:
Preqin data: Southeast Asia's AI startups raised just $1.7B across 122 deals so far in 2024, out of ~$20B across 1,845 deals for the whole Asia-Pacific region
 
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