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8:40 PM ET, November 3, 2024

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Holly Otterbein / Politico:
Harris campaign: The Iowa poll is exciting, but...  Democrats were giddy Saturday when a gold-standard poll found Kamala Harris narrowly leading Donald Trump in deep-red Iowa.  But Harris' senior campaign officials are cautioning against getting too excited about the Des Moines Register survey.
RELATED:
emptywheel:
Male Pollsters Shocked — Shocked!!  — When a Woman Pollster Discovers Women Voters  —  On Friday, Nate Silver tweeted and substacked a piece declaring that there must be herding going on in the casino.  —  His substack analysis didn't acknowledge, however, that this herding was going on in his casino.
Business Insider:
Kamala Harris' new lead in top Iowa poll could bode well for her in some key swing states  — A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points in the state.  — It's a significant shift in a conservative-leaning state that Trump won by eight points in 2020.
Ally Mutnick / Politico:
Kari Lake is struggling to match Trump's numbers in Arizona.  She doesn't believe the polls.  —  Polls show Donald Trump is running neck-and-neck with Kamala Harris in the state but Lake has fallen significantly behind Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego.  (Her AI modeling says otherwise.)
Discussion: Raw Story, The Atlantic and CBS News
Michael Lee / Fox News:
Major pollster drops final battleground poll numbers  —  Harris hold slim leads in four of the seven main battleground states  —  The final New York Times/Siena College Battleground poll of the 2024 race shows a razor-tight election in the battleground states just days before the election.
Politico:
British ‘mega poll’ leans toward Harris victory
Discussion: Raw Story and The Times of Israel
New York Times:
Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find
Associated Press:
Trump talks about reporters being shot and says he shouldn't have left White House after 2020 loss  —  Donald Trump gave a profane and conspiracy-laden speech two days before the presidential election, talking about reporters being shot and suggesting he “shouldn't have left” the White House after his 2020 loss to Democrat Joe Biden.
RELATED:
Politico:
Trump says he doesn't ‘mind’ if someone has to ‘shoot through’ the media
Peter Wade / Rolling Stone:
Trump Boasts ‘Every Rally Is Full’ as Camera Immediately Pans to Empty Seats, People Leaving  —  The former president falsely claimed his rallies “do not have any seats that are empty”  —  A savvy camera operator fact checked Donald Trump live.  —  During his rally in Greensboro …
Jake Lahut / Wired:
Canvassers for Elon Musk's America PAC Were Fired and Stranded in Michigan After Speaking Out  —  A dozen Black canvassers were tricked, threatened, and driven in seatless U-Haul vans.  They were fired after WIRED reported on their plight—some without full pay or a way back home.
Discussion: Rolling Stone
NBC News:
Trump doesn't rule out banning vaccines if he becomes president: 'I'll make a decision'  —  In an interview with NBC News, the former president also said that a push by RFK Jr. to remove fluoride in water “sounds OK to me.”  —  Former President Donald Trump said that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would have a …
RELATED:
Megan Lebowitz / NBC News:
RFK Jr. says a Trump White House would immediately push to remove fluoride from water
A.R. Moxon / The Reframe:
Apology Not Accepted  —  I woke up yesterday morning to learn that Don Trump—the famed rapist, convicted felon, and white christian presidential candidate—had mimed performing a blowjob on his microphone stand to the clear delight of his crowd.  —  There's a famous Christian thinker named Jesus H. Christ …
Liz Goodwin / Washington Post:
GOP candidate Tim Sheehy says medical records don't exist for gunshot wound  —  In May, the candidate said it was “insulting and ridiculous” that he would be asked to provide them.  —  Tim Sheehy, the Montana Republican nominee for Senate, said in an interview with former Fox News host Megyn Kelly …
RELATED:
Tim Miller / The Bulwark:
Ann Selzer: How Could This Be?  —  Few states are as red as Iowa, and yet the legendary Iowa pollster Ann Selzer found that Kamala has leapfrogged over Trump to take the lead there.  The turnaround is due to women—particularly women 65 and older, who previously tilted toward Trump, but now favor Kamala 63% to 28%.
Discussion: Des Moines Register and USA Today
Ken Bensinger / New York Times:
James O'Keefe Recruits Election Workers to Secretly Record at the Polls  —  Mr. O'Keefe has sought volunteers willing to wear hidden cameras and hunt for voting problems.  Dozens of election judges and poll monitors responded, records show.  —  James O'Keefe, the conservative influencer …
Edward-Isaac Dovere / CNN:
CNN Exclusive: Bill Clinton has hopes and fears on what comes after 2024 - for the country, the party and himself  —  Michigan's West Coast CNN —  Rumbling down the road between small towns in western Michigan, Bill Clinton was considering mortality - potentially American democracy's or the Democratic Party's, but also his own.
Lauren Irwin / The Hill:
Cruz on McConnell's replacement: I want a ‘leader who changes how the Senate operates’  —  Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) said he hopes whoever replaces Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) atop the Senate GOP is someone who will change “how the Senate operates.”
Discussion: Fox Business
RELATED:
Mary Clare Jalonick / Associated Press:   Who will replace Mitch McConnell as Senate GOP leader? It remains deeply uncertain
Politico:
Why business leaders are worried about JD Vance  —  They've watched the party move away from them under Donald Trump.  They're worried his chosen successor could accelerate the shift.  —  Business leaders watched with growing frustration as Donald Trump pushed the Republican Party toward …
Discussion: New York Times
Mary L. Trump / The Good in Us:
North Carolina—and Iowa?  —  I did not see this coming  —  N.B.—Please join me for the last “Ask Mary Anything within Reason” before the election.  It's going to be a good one!  —  Thanks to Donald and the fact that we've been subjected to the Big Lie for almost four years …
 
 
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 More Items: 
Soo Rin Kim / ABC News:
Trump campaign leaving some cities with hundreds of thousands in unpaid bills after rallies
Tessa Stuart / Rolling Stone:
DeSantis Is Doing Everything He Can to End Abortion Measures' Winning Streak
Discussion: Florida Politics and The 19th
Sarah Fortinsky / The Hill:
Trump says ‘Fox News is not our friend,’ claims it's airing ‘Democrat ads’
ABC News:
Trump tells ABC he expects a winner to be declared election night
Wm. Dwight McKissic Sr / MSNBC:
I'm a pastor who hates abortion, opposes gay marriage — and is voting for Harris
Discussion: Raw Story
 Earlier Items: 
Will Bunch / The Philadelphia Inquirer:
2024's biggest gaffe? GOP telling the truth about what it will do to America.
Al Weaver / The Hill:
Final Senate rankings: 5 seats most likely to flip
Discussion: CNN, CBS News, Fox News and New York Times
Emily Davies / Washington Post:
In a bathroom stall, a simple message: Vote Harris. No one will know.
A.B. Stoddard / The Bulwark:
Trump Thinks America Wants His Perversions
Tara Suter / The Hill:
FCC commissioner claims Harris on ‘SNL’ violates ‘equal time’ rule
Emell Derra Adolphus / The Daily Beast:
Epstein Claimed: Trump Liked to F**k His Friends' Wives
Jon Levine / New York Post:
Prominent white supremacist Richard Spencer endorses Kamala Harris
Discussion: RedState and What's New Today