memeorandum: British ‘mega poll’ leans toward Harris victory (Politico)

10:10 AM ET, November 3, 2024

Top Items:

Brianne Pfannenstiel / Des Moines Register:

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how — The nationally recognized Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris picking up support from women to surpass Donald Trump in a ruby-red state he has won twice … Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa …

Politico:

British ‘mega poll’ leans toward Harris victory — Election pollsters may be ‘herding’ and giving the impression Trump is stronger than he really is, Focaldata research suggests. — The British are a-coming. This time, they're wielding a new polling technique with a huge survey sample …

Discussion: Raw Story

Mark Murray / NBC News:

Final NBC News poll: Harris-Trump race is neck and neck, with significant gender gap — Abortion and rising Democratic enthusiasm boost Harris, while the economy and the cost of living lift Trump ahead of an uncertain election. — The final national NBC News poll of the 2024 presidential campaign finds …

Nate Cohn / New York Times:

Some Surprises in Last Battleground Polls, but Still a Deadlock — A rise for Kamala Harris in the Sun Belt, and a dip in the Northern swing states. — Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump stayed deadlocked to the finish in the final New York Times/Siena College polls of the 2024 presidential election …

Discussion: Bloomberg

New York Times:

Harris and Trump Battle to the Wire in Swing States, Times/Siena Polls Find — Donald J. Trump has improved his standing in Pennsylvania even as late-deciding voters appear to be breaking for Kamala Harris. — The presidential race appears to be hurtling toward a photo finish …

Discussion: The Hill, Wide World of News, New York Post and Daily Mail

Meredith Deliso / ABC News:

Can you wear a Trump or Harris hat to the polls? It depends on where you live — Nearly half of states have laws restricting political apparel, per NCSL. — People wear campaign hats to a rally held by Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington, Oct. 29 …

Filip Timotija / The Hill:
Trump ahead of Harris in Iowa in new Emerson College poll

Discussion: Emerson Polling, Breitbart, The Hollywood Reporter, Townhall, The Times of Israel, Des Moines Register and Mediaite

Oren Oppenheim / ABC News: Some undecided voters still wrestling with their decision as Election Day approaches

Shawn Tully / Fortune: October surprise: Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop, says top data scientist

Emell Derra Adolphus / The Daily Beast:
Trump Losing Sleep Over Polling Numbers Days Before Election

Discussion: Breitbart, Politico and Metro.co.uk, more at Techmeme »

Associated Press:

Harris appears on ‘Saturday Night Live’ as mirror image of Maya Rudolph with election looming — Vice President Kamala Harris made a surprise appearance on “Saturday Night Live” in the final days before the election, playing herself as the mirror-image double of Maya Rudolph's version of her in the show's cold open.

Discussion: New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Raw Story, The Hill, New York Post, Variety, Deadline, Daily Mail, USA Today, Axios, Fox News, Associated Press, Scripps News and The Hollywood Reporter

Tara Suter / The Hill:

FCC commissioner claims Harris on ‘SNL’ violates ‘equal time’ rule — A Federal Communications Commission (FCC) commissioner has claimed that Vice President Harris's recent appearance on “Saturday Night Live” violates the “equal time” rule. — “This is a clear and blatant effort to evade …

Discussion: Daily Mail

William Earl / Variety:

Kamala Harris Mocks Donald Trump on ‘SNL’ Appearance, Urges Americans to ‘Keep Kamala and Carry On-A-La’ — Kamala Harris made a last-minute appearance on “Saturday Night Live” to inject a little humor into the last days of the presidential campaign. — The current Vice President …

Discussion: Vanity Fair, USA Today, Reuters, TMZ.com, Daily Mail, The Independent, New York Post, Associated Press, NPR, The Hollywood Reporter, Mediaite, Breitbart, Deadline and Crooks and Liars

Washington Post:

Harris's team claims she's no longer the underdog, but Trump team scoffs — Harris's team has struck a more optimistic tone in public in recent days, signaling that they expect to win the race. The Trump campaign sees things differently. — Vice President Kamala Harris has spent …

Discussion: Townhall, Politico and Deadline

New York Times:
Kamala Harris Joins ‘S.N.L.’ for a Pep Talk With Maya Rudolph

Discussion: Daily Mail, New York Post, Politico, Rolling Stone, Associated Press and Raw Story

Eric Hegedus / New York Post:
Kamala Harris to make surprise appearance on ‘Saturday Night Live’

Discussion: NBC News, Daily Mail, Los Angeles Times, Variety, Fox News, Mediaite, Deadline, The Gateway Pundit, Washington Examiner, Washington Post, The Hill, PoliticusUSA, Instapundit and Rolling Stone

Emell Derra Adolphus / The Daily Beast:

Epstein Claimed: Trump Liked to F**k His Friends' Wives — In recordings taken by author Michael Wolff, Epstein claimed Trump first slept with Melania on his Lolita Express and enjoyed cuckholding. — 'Don't Do This Again': Harrison Ford Endorses Kamala Harris — 'WE'LL MOVE FORWARD'

Hugh Dougherty / The Daily Beast:

Listen To The Jeffrey Epstein Tapes: 'I Was Donald Trump's Closest Friend' — THE PREDATOR AND THE PRESIDENT — Explosive tapes recorded by author Michael Wolff show Epstein claiming Trump liked to “f—” his friends' wives and first slept with Melania on the Lolita Express. — EXCLUSIVE

Discussion: The Irish Times, Mediaite and New York Magazine

Althea Legaspi / Rolling Stone:

Trump's Health Pick RFK Jr. Touts Removing Fluoride From Water — “Fluoride is an industrial waste associated with arthritis, bone fractures, bone cancer, IQ loss,” the oft-health conspiracy theorist claims … “On January 20, the Trump White House will advise all U.S. water systems …

New York Times:
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Says Trump Will Seek to Remove Fluoride From Drinking Water

Discussion: Mediaite, NBC News, Associated Press, Washington Post and HuffPost

MauríCio Alencar / The Daily Beast:

Elon Musk's Mom Suggests She May Break Voting Laws — ILLEGAL MUCH? — Maye Musk also suggested that her Canadian friends were going to vote illegally. — Elon Musk's mom Musk stunned Fox News host Neil Cavuto when she appeared to suggest that she would visit polling stations in New York …

Saul Elbein / The Hill:

Texas GOP amplifies voter fraud claims amid tight Senate race — Texas Republicans are making a preemptive push to paint the 2024 election as illegitimate and rife with fraud, a move that comes as Sen. Ted Cruz (R) fights for his political life. — That rhetorical and legal campaign …

Discussion: Mother Jones and USA Today

New York Times:

A Second Trump Term? Three Conservative Columnists Unpack What Could Happen. — Ross Douthat: Bret, David, I've been given a rare opportunity by an obliging genie: I get to describe to our past selves in the autumn of 2016 — when we were all sure Donald Trump would lose in a landslide …

Discussion: Althouse

Jon Levine / New York Post:

Prominent white supremacist Richard Spencer endorses Kamala Harris — One of the United States' foremost white supremacists is urging his followers to support Vice President Harris in the presidential election next week. — Richard Spencer, an avowed racist, antisemite and admirer of Nazism …

Discussion: RedState and What's New Today

Sarah Arnold / Townhall:

The Pentagon Fails to Send Absentee Ballots to Active Military Service Members — Republican lawmakers demand answers from the Pentagon after military service members complained that they have not received enough absentee ballots to vote before Election Day.

Discussion: RedState, Baltimore Sun, Congressman Brian Mast and Breitbart

Filip Timotija / The Hill:

Rep. Don Bacon seeks to outrun Trump in Nebraska's blue-leaning district — Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) is hoping to outrun former President Trump in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, which has been trending blue and is set to play a key role in the contentious presidential race.

Discussion: Bloomberg, OpenSecrets.org and Washington Examiner

ProPublica:

Trump Media Outsourced Jobs to Mexico Even as Trump Pushes “America First” — On the campaign trail, Donald Trump threatened businesses that send jobs south of the border, while his own company that runs the Truth Social platform outsourced coding jobs to workers in Mexico, outraging some staff members.