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8:50 AM ET, November 5, 2024

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 Top Items: 
Jon Ralston / The Nevada Independent:
Editor Jon Ralston's 2024 Nevada election predictions  —  I should have done the mic drop in 2022.  —  Picking the winners in the top two races, both of which were agonizingly close, should have been the swan song, the ride off into the sunset on my oracular career.
RELATED:
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
Heads I win, tails you lose  —  In 2020, Donald Trump declared himself the winner of any state where a partial tally of votes showed him ahead.  —  As more votes were counted and Trump fell behind in states where he previously had an advantage, Trump claimed that was evidence of cheating.
Discussion: CNN, Carolina Journal, Forbes, NPR and Reason
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Our Final 2024 Ratings  —  We mentioned a few weeks ago that we misplaced our Crystal Ball.  As an update, we regret to say that we still have not found it.  So no final ratings this year.  Have fun on Tuesday!  —  ...  ...  ...  OK, fine, we'll give it a try.
Discussion: The Hill and New York Post
Stephen Fowler / NPR:
Trump and allies have primed supporters to falsely believe he has no chance of losing  —  It's possible former President Donald Trump wins the election - and also quite possible he loses.  But many in Trump's orbit keep falsely telling his supporters the only way that happens is because of cheating.
Discussion: Althouse and Forbes
Tara Suter / The Hill:   Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House
Kim Wehle / The Bulwark:
It's Been Four Years. How Ready Are We for ‘Stop the Steal 2.0’?
Discussion: Politico
Alexandra Hutzler / ABC News:
Why the winner of the 2024 presidential race might not be called on election night
Andy Kroll / ProPublica:
Trump Claims “Illegal Alien” Voting Is Rampant. His Own Party Disagrees.
Casey Newton / Platformer:
X's plan to interfere with the election  —  With polls essentially tied and hours to go until Election Day, no one knows for certain who will win the 2024 US presidential election.  But we can say with some certainty what will happen if the result is anything other than a landslide victory for Donald Trump …
Discussion: IJR, more at Techmeme »
RELATED:
Renee DiResta / The UnPopulist:
The MAGA Propaganda Machine Has Successfully Censored Voices Calling Out its Lies  —  In 2020, the U.S. found itself in the midst of an unprecedented election—one defined not only by candidates or policies, but by a fight over what was real.  During that election, I was one of the leaders …
The Hill:
Razor-tight races could leave House control in limbo for weeks  —  It could be days — or even weeks — before Americans know who will control the House of Representatives in the next Congress, setting up what could be a long and anxious window of uncertainty surrounding the balance of power on Capitol Hill next year.
Discussion: Associated Press and El País
RELATED:
Olivia Beavers / Politico:
Inside the House GOP's struggle to recruit more women
Discussion: Wall Street Journal and CNN
Andrew Solender / Axios:
These are the “canary” House races to watch on Nov. 5
Discussion: ABC News
Ryland Barton / NPR:
Voters could flip these state legislatures, changing the path for some big issues
Discussion: E&E News
Amanda Moore / Politico:
A Trump Field Director Was Fired for Being a White Nationalist  —  A white nationalist worked on the Trump campaign in an important position in Pennsylvania for five months — until Friday, when the Pennsylvania GOP fired him after learning about his views from my reporting.
RELATED:
Jonathan Edwards / Washington Post:
Trump organizer who secretly hosted white-nationalist podcast is fired  —  Luke Meyer, 24, was a regional field director for Trump Force 47, a joint effort of the Trump campaign, the RNC and the Pennsylvania GOP, which hired him in June and fired him Friday.
Rebecca Falconer / Axios:
Joe Rogan endorses Trump on eve of Election Day … - “If it wasn't for him we'd be f—ked,” Rogan wrote in the post, which links to his interview with Musk.  — “He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way.
RELATED:
Federal Bureau of Investigation:
Joint ODNI, FBI, and CISA Statement  —  Today, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) released the following statement:  —  Since our statement on Friday …
Malcolm Ferguson / New Republic:
Trump Announces Dumbest Person You Know Will Lead Missile Defense … Herschel Walker is back and ready to lead our country's missile defense system.  —  That is not some cruel joke, but a very real thing Donald Trump proposed at his Georgia rally on Sunday—minutes after Walker confused …
NBC News:
A fixture of American politics for nearly a decade, Trump rallies are coming to an end  —  They have been the nerve center of his political movement since he first announced his candidacy in 2015.  —  Regardless of who wins Tuesday's election, a key fixture of America's political landscape …
Discussion: Breitbart and Fox News
RELATED:
Washington Post:
Election 2024 live updates Polls open with Trump, Harris locked in a tight race  —  Election Day voting has begun in the high-stakes presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump that polls show to be incredibly close and likely to be decided by voters in a handful of battleground states.
CNN:
A pro-Trump influencer says a Russian agent paid him $100 to post a fake voter fraud video.  It wasn't the first time  —  An American social media influencer said he was paid $100 by a pro-Kremlin propagandist to post a fake video of Haitian immigrants claiming to vote in the US presidential election.
Discussion: Raw Story and Forbes
Courtney Cohn / Democracy Docket:
Georgia Judge Rejects Third Lawsuit From GOP Fulton County Election Official  —  A Georgia judge rejected a third lawsuit from Julie Adams — a GOP member of the Fulton County Board of Elections and Registration — seeking additional election records she claims she needs to certify tomorrow's election results.
Discussion: The Guardian and ProPublica
Ryan J. Reilly / NBC News:
Proud Boys claim they'll be at polling places as Trump ups violent rhetoric and election fraud claims  —  Though several Proud Boys leaders remain in prison on Jan. 6 charges, the far-right militia group remains active, with some chapters saying they'll watch the polls Tuesday.
Reuters:
US soldier injured during Gaza pier operation has died  —  A U.S. Army soldier who was in critical condition after suffering non-combat injuries while supporting the military's pier off the coast of Gaza has died, the U.S. military said on Monday.  —  Sergeant Quandarius Davon Stanley …
Philip Bump / Washington Post:
If Trump were running against Biden right now, he'd be up 7 points  —  New YouGov polling offered Americans an alternative history: What if President Joe Biden hadn't dropped out?  —  Elections are riddled with what-ifs.  Some are immediate: What if we had spent more on television?
Stephen Robinson / Public Notice:
Will America become Russia?  —  We'll find out today. … 🙏 Subscribe to Public Notice 🙏  —  A persistent theme at any Trump rally is MAGA's utter contempt for America, which Donald Trump has repeatedly called a “garbage can for the world.”
Chris Cameron / New York Times:
Tucker Carlson Says Abortions Cause Hurricanes in Election Eve Broadcast  —  In a podcast appearance, Tucker Carlson dismissed scientific research that links global warming to more potent and frequent hurricanes, saying instead that “it's probably abortion, actually.”
US Department of Justice:
Man Arrested and Charged with Attempting to Use a Weapon of Mass Destruction and to Destroy an Energy Facility in Nashville  —  For Immediate Release  —  View the complaint here.  —  Skyler Philippi, 24, of Columbia, Tennessee, was arrested by federal agents and charged with attempting …
CBS News:
“They're very scared”: Migrants anxiously monitor U.S. election, fearing Trump win  —  Nogales, Mexico — Migrants from all corners of the globe, from Latin America to far-flung countries in Africa and Asia, come to a shelter in this northern Mexican city hoping to enter the U.S …
Discussion: Al Jazeera
Sareen Habeshian / Axios:
JD Vance calls for loving fellow Americans before labeling Harris “trash” … - He added: “I want to ask us not to follow Kamala Harris' terrible example.”  — Vance asked rally-goers not to discard lifelong relationships “because people vote the wrong way,” saying, “Here in our movement, we love every citizen of this country.
Axios:
Newspapers rapidly kill off the presidential endorsement … - Trump received seven endorsements last cycle. … - Tribune Publishing and MediaNews Group, both owned by Alden Global Capital, said their more than 68 daily and 300 weekly papers would no longer endorse presidents in 2022.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jake Bittle / Grist:
This California congressman is betting the farm on water
Jack Forrest / CNN:
Harris and Trump tie in Dixville Notch midnight vote to kick off Election Day
Politico:
Election officials threaten consequences for counties trying to stop certification
Discussion: Fox News and Florida Phoenix
Associated Press:
Landmark Washington climate law faces possible repeal by voters
 Earlier Items: 
Tatyana Tandanpolie / Salon:
“I am scared every day”: Experts say GOP men targeting no-fault divorce to keep women “trapped”
Josh Christenson / New York Post:
Harris botched interview with Muslim influencer by celebrating ‘bacon’ as ‘a spice’
Erica Pandey / Axios:
Poll: Harris has massive lead among swing state college students
Discussion: USA Today and Black America Web
Associated Press:
Some Republican-led states refuse to let Justice Department monitors into polling places
Maryclaire Dale / Associated Press:
Elon Musk's $1 million-a-day voter sweepstakes can proceed, a Pennsylvania judge says