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8:05 AM ET, November 5, 2024

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Judd Legum / Popular Information:
Heads I win, tails you lose  —  In 2020, Donald Trump declared himself the winner of any state where a partial tally of votes showed him ahead.  —  As more votes were counted and Trump fell behind in states where he previously had an advantage, Trump claimed that was evidence of cheating.
Discussion: CNN, Forbes, NPR and Reason
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Our Final 2024 Ratings  —  We mentioned a few weeks ago that we misplaced our Crystal Ball.  As an update, we regret to say that we still have not found it.  So no final ratings this year.  Have fun on Tuesday!  —  ...  ...  ...  OK, fine, we'll give it a try.
Discussion: The Hill and New York Post
Michael McDonald / Michael's Newsletter:
North Carolina Forecast Outcome  —  North Carolina early voting has neared its end, with only a few mail ballots left to be cast.  So, like mostly-concluded Georgia, I can now make a forecast for North Carolina's election outcome based on the early vote.  —  The good news for Donald …
Alexandra Hutzler / ABC News:
Why the winner of the 2024 presidential race might not be called on election night
Tara Suter / The Hill:   Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House
Stephen Fowler / NPR:
Trump and allies have primed supporters to falsely believe he has no chance of losing
Discussion: Forbes
Andrew Solender / Axios:   These are the “canary” House races to watch on Nov. 5
Andy Kroll / ProPublica:
Trump Claims “Illegal Alien” Voting Is Rampant. His Own Party Disagrees.
Casey Newton / Platformer:
X's plan to interfere with the election  —  With polls essentially tied and hours to go until Election Day, no one knows for certain who will win the 2024 US presidential election.  But we can say with some certainty what will happen if the result is anything other than a landslide victory for Donald Trump …
Discussion: IJR, more at Techmeme »
RELATED:
Renee DiResta / The UnPopulist:
The MAGA Propaganda Machine Has Successfully Censored Voices Calling Out its Lies  —  In 2020, the U.S. found itself in the midst of an unprecedented election—one defined not only by candidates or policies, but by a fight over what was real.  During that election, I was one of the leaders …
Amanda Moore / Politico:
A Trump Field Director Was Fired for Being a White Nationalist  —  A white nationalist worked on the Trump campaign in an important position in Pennsylvania for five months — until Friday, when the Pennsylvania GOP fired him after learning about his views from my reporting.
RELATED:
Jonathan Edwards / Washington Post:   Trump organizer who secretly hosted white-nationalist podcast is fired
Rebecca Falconer / Axios:
Joe Rogan endorses Trump on eve of Election Day … - “If it wasn't for him we'd be f—ked,” Rogan wrote in the post, which links to his interview with Musk.  — “He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way.
RELATED:
Federal Bureau of Investigation:
Joint ODNI, FBI, and CISA Statement  —  Today, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) released the following statement:  —  Since our statement on Friday …
Malcolm Ferguson / New Republic:
Trump Announces Dumbest Person You Know Will Lead Missile Defense … Herschel Walker is back and ready to lead our country's missile defense system.  —  That is not some cruel joke, but a very real thing Donald Trump proposed at his Georgia rally on Sunday—minutes after Walker confused …
CNN:
A pro-Trump influencer says a Russian agent paid him $100 to post a fake voter fraud video.  It wasn't the first time  —  An American social media influencer said he was paid $100 by a pro-Kremlin propagandist to post a fake video of Haitian immigrants claiming to vote in the US presidential election.
Discussion: Raw Story and Forbes
NBC News:
A fixture of American politics for nearly a decade, Trump rallies are coming to an end  —  They have been the nerve center of his political movement since he first announced his candidacy in 2015.  —  Regardless of who wins Tuesday's election, a key fixture of America's political landscape …
Discussion: Breitbart and Fox News
RELATED:
Courtney Cohn / Democracy Docket:
Georgia Judge Rejects Third Lawsuit From GOP Fulton County Election Official  —  A Georgia judge rejected a third lawsuit from Julie Adams — a GOP member of the Fulton County Board of Elections and Registration — seeking additional election records she claims she needs to certify tomorrow's election results.
Ryan J. Reilly / NBC News:
Proud Boys claim they'll be at polling places as Trump ups violent rhetoric and election fraud claims  —  Though several Proud Boys leaders remain in prison on Jan. 6 charges, the far-right militia group remains active, with some chapters saying they'll watch the polls Tuesday.
Reuters:
US soldier injured during Gaza pier operation has died  —  A U.S. Army soldier who was in critical condition after suffering non-combat injuries while supporting the military's pier off the coast of Gaza has died, the U.S. military said on Monday.  —  Sergeant Quandarius Davon Stanley …
Stephen Robinson / Public Notice:
Will America become Russia?  —  We'll find out today. … 🙏 Subscribe to Public Notice 🙏  —  A persistent theme at any Trump rally is MAGA's utter contempt for America, which Donald Trump has repeatedly called a “garbage can for the world.”
Maryclaire Dale / Associated Press:
Elon Musk's $1 million-a-day voter sweepstakes can proceed, a Pennsylvania judge says  —  The $1 million-a-day voter sweepstakes that Elon Musk 's political action committee is hosting in swing states can continue through Tuesday's presidential election, a Pennsylvania judge ruled Monday.
RELATED:
Jack Queen / Reuters:
Elon Musk lawyer says $1 million voter giveaway winners are not random
Chris Cameron / New York Times:
Tucker Carlson Says Abortions Cause Hurricanes in Election Eve Broadcast  —  In a podcast appearance, Tucker Carlson dismissed scientific research that links global warming to more potent and frequent hurricanes, saying instead that “it's probably abortion, actually.”
The Hill:
Razor-tight races could leave House control in limbo for weeks  —  It could be days — or even weeks — before Americans know who will control the House of Representatives in the next Congress, setting up what could be a long and anxious window of uncertainty surrounding the balance of power on Capitol Hill next year.
Discussion: Associated Press and El País
Politico:
America's political experts brace for the most unpredictable election of their careers  —  The presidential race is statistically tied in all battleground states, with the down ballot map still in a scramble.  —  Washington's political class is grappling with an uncomfortable, and unprecedented …
Discussion: Washington Post and ABC News
CBS News:
“They're very scared”: Migrants anxiously monitor U.S. election, fearing Trump win  —  Nogales, Mexico — Migrants from all corners of the globe, from Latin America to far-flung countries in Africa and Asia, come to a shelter in this northern Mexican city hoping to enter the U.S …
Discussion: Al Jazeera
US Department of Justice:
Man Arrested and Charged with Attempting to Use a Weapon of Mass Destruction and to Destroy an Energy Facility in Nashville  —  For Immediate Release  —  View the complaint here.  —  Skyler Philippi, 24, of Columbia, Tennessee, was arrested by federal agents and charged with attempting …
Sareen Habeshian / Axios:
JD Vance calls for loving fellow Americans before labeling Harris “trash” … - He added: “I want to ask us not to follow Kamala Harris' terrible example.”  — Vance asked rally-goers not to discard lifelong relationships “because people vote the wrong way,” saying, “Here in our movement, we love every citizen of this country.
Andrew Atterbury / Politico:
Florida's election could have long-lasting impact on local school boards  —  Gov. Ron DeSantis' mission to remake the state's education system has shifted local school boards, and Florida voters get one more chance to weigh in on Tuesday.  —  TALLAHASSEE, Florida — Gov. Ron DeSantis' efforts …
Discussion: Chicago Tribune
Olivia Beavers / Politico:
Inside the House GOP's struggle to recruit more women  —  Republican women have grown frustrated as they've watched their gains in the chamber stagnate — and it seems likely they'll see losses in 2025.  —  House GOP women still have a numbers problem.  —  Four years after a wave …
Discussion: Wall Street Journal and CNN
 
 
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 More Items: 
Associated Press:
Landmark Washington climate law faces possible repeal by voters
Kim Wehle / The Bulwark:
It's Been Four Years. How Ready Are We for ‘Stop the Steal 2.0’?
Discussion: Politico
Tatyana Tandanpolie / Salon:
“I am scared every day”: Experts say GOP men targeting no-fault divorce to keep women “trapped”
Josh Christenson / New York Post:
Harris botched interview with Muslim influencer by celebrating ‘bacon’ as ‘a spice’
 Earlier Items: 
Erica Pandey / Axios:
Poll: Harris has massive lead among swing state college students
Discussion: USA Today and Black America Web
Associated Press:
Some Republican-led states refuse to let Justice Department monitors into polling places
Politico:
How Trump Could Ban Abortion Without Congress
Freddy Brewster / The Lever:
The Dark Money Kingpin Behind Election-Day Chaos
Discussion: Chicago Boyz
Mark Leibovich / The Atlantic:
How to Get Through Election Day  —  Store up some enlightenment for the white-knuckle hours ahead.
Discussion: The Daily Caller
 

 
From Techmeme:

Wesley Hilliard / AppleInsider:
Apple News adds a Live Activity widget to track the results of the US elections in real time on iPhone, iPad, and Watch

Bloomberg:
Sources: Canadian authorities arrest Alexander “Connor” Moucka, who is allegedly behind the June and July 2024 hacks of up to 165 Snowflake users including AT&T

Financial Times:
In its annual report, Apple warns of future products perhaps never exceeding the iPhone's profitability, “geopolitical tensions”, and AI features' safety risks

 
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