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9:15 AM ET, November 5, 2024

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 Top Items: 
Jon Ralston / The Nevada Independent:
Editor Jon Ralston's 2024 Nevada election predictions  —  I should have done the mic drop in 2022.  —  Picking the winners in the top two races, both of which were agonizingly close, should have been the swan song, the ride off into the sunset on my oracular career.
RELATED:
Judd Legum / Popular Information:
Heads I win, tails you lose  —  In 2020, Donald Trump declared himself the winner of any state where a partial tally of votes showed him ahead.  —  As more votes were counted and Trump fell behind in states where he previously had an advantage, Trump claimed that was evidence of cheating.
Discussion: CNN, Carolina Journal, Forbes, NPR and Reason
Tom Jones / Poynter:
What to watch — and what to avoid — on election night  —  It's not about where to watch.  It's about how to watch.  —  Well, we made it.  It's Election Day.  —  Today could go down as one of the most important days in the history of our country as the nation decides between Vice President Kamala Harris …
Stephen Fowler / NPR:
Trump and allies have primed supporters to falsely believe he has no chance of losing  —  It's possible former President Donald Trump wins the election - and also quite possible he loses.  But many in Trump's orbit keep falsely telling his supporters the only way that happens is because of cheating.
Discussion: LGBTQ Nation, Althouse, The Hill and Forbes
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Our Final 2024 Ratings  —  We mentioned a few weeks ago that we misplaced our Crystal Ball.  As an update, we regret to say that we still have not found it.  So no final ratings this year.  Have fun on Tuesday!  —  ...  ...  ...  OK, fine, we'll give it a try.
Discussion: The Hill and New York Post
Kim Wehle / The Bulwark:
It's Been Four Years. How Ready Are We for ‘Stop the Steal 2.0’?
Discussion: Politico
Alexandra Hutzler / ABC News:
Why the winner of the 2024 presidential race might not be called on election night
Jack Forrest / CNN:
Harris and Trump tie in Dixville Notch midnight vote to kick off Election Day
Tara Suter / The Hill:   Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House
Casey Newton / Platformer:
X's plan to interfere with the election  —  With polls essentially tied and hours to go until Election Day, no one knows for certain who will win the 2024 US presidential election.  But we can say with some certainty what will happen if the result is anything other than a landslide victory for Donald Trump …
Discussion: IJR, more at Techmeme »
RELATED:
Renee DiResta / The UnPopulist:
The MAGA Propaganda Machine Has Successfully Censored Voices Calling Out its Lies  —  In 2020, the U.S. found itself in the midst of an unprecedented election—one defined not only by candidates or policies, but by a fight over what was real.  During that election, I was one of the leaders …
Ryland Barton / NPR:
Voters could flip these state legislatures, changing the path for some big issues  —  Tucked at the bottom of the ballot, races for the state legislature can have an enormous effect on issues from abortion to guns to voting access.  —  Control of legislatures is up for grabs in several states this year.
Discussion: E&E News
RELATED:
The Hill:
Razor-tight races could leave House control in limbo for weeks
Discussion: Associated Press and El País
Olivia Beavers / Politico:
Inside the House GOP's struggle to recruit more women
Discussion: Wall Street Journal and CNN
Andrew Solender / Axios:
These are the “canary” House races to watch on Nov. 5
Discussion: ABC News
Amanda Moore / Politico:
A Trump Field Director Was Fired for Being a White Nationalist  —  A white nationalist worked on the Trump campaign in an important position in Pennsylvania for five months — until Friday, when the Pennsylvania GOP fired him after learning about his views from my reporting.
RELATED:
Jonathan Edwards / Washington Post:   Trump organizer who secretly hosted white-nationalist podcast is fired
Rebecca Falconer / Axios:
Joe Rogan endorses Trump on eve of Election Day … - “If it wasn't for him we'd be f—ked,” Rogan wrote in the post, which links to his interview with Musk.  — “He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way.
RELATED:
Federal Bureau of Investigation:
Joint ODNI, FBI, and CISA Statement  —  Today, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) released the following statement:  —  Since our statement on Friday …
Hope Hicks / New York Post:
I was at Trump's side in 2016 — here's why he'll win again  —  Almost 10 years into former President Donald Trump's historic political movement, his critics still cannot grasp what makes him so popular with everyday hardworking Americans — and they still demonize the men and women who support him.
RELATED:
Malcolm Ferguson / New Republic:
Trump Announces Dumbest Person You Know Will Lead Missile Defense … Herschel Walker is back and ready to lead our country's missile defense system.  —  That is not some cruel joke, but a very real thing Donald Trump proposed at his Georgia rally on Sunday—minutes after Walker confused …
CNN:
A pro-Trump influencer says a Russian agent paid him $100 to post a fake voter fraud video.  It wasn't the first time  —  An American social media influencer said he was paid $100 by a pro-Kremlin propagandist to post a fake video of Haitian immigrants claiming to vote in the US presidential election.
Discussion: Raw Story and Forbes
Washington Post:
Election 2024 live updates Polls open with Trump, Harris locked in a tight race  —  Election Day voting has begun in the high-stakes presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump that polls show to be incredibly close and likely to be decided by voters in a handful of battleground states.
Philip Bump / Washington Post:
If Trump were running against Biden right now, he'd be up 7 points  —  New YouGov polling offered Americans an alternative history: What if President Joe Biden hadn't dropped out?  —  Elections are riddled with what-ifs.  Some are immediate: What if we had spent more on television?
Ryan J. Reilly / NBC News:
Proud Boys claim they'll be at polling places as Trump ups violent rhetoric and election fraud claims  —  Though several Proud Boys leaders remain in prison on Jan. 6 charges, the far-right militia group remains active, with some chapters saying they'll watch the polls Tuesday.
Courtney Cohn / Democracy Docket:
Georgia Judge Rejects Third Lawsuit From GOP Fulton County Election Official  —  A Georgia judge rejected a third lawsuit from Julie Adams — a GOP member of the Fulton County Board of Elections and Registration — seeking additional election records she claims she needs to certify tomorrow's election results.
Discussion: The Guardian and ProPublica
Stephen Robinson / Public Notice:
Will America become Russia?  —  We'll find out today. … 🙏 Subscribe to Public Notice 🙏  —  A persistent theme at any Trump rally is MAGA's utter contempt for America, which Donald Trump has repeatedly called a “garbage can for the world.”
Axios:
Newspapers rapidly kill off the presidential endorsement … - Trump received seven endorsements last cycle. … - Tribune Publishing and MediaNews Group, both owned by Alden Global Capital, said their more than 68 daily and 300 weekly papers would no longer endorse presidents in 2022.
Dan Gillmor / The cornerstone of democracy:
Essentials, November 4, 2024  —  A compendium of the best reporting and commentary surrounding the pivotal 2024 elections in the United States.  You will rarely find horse race coverage here, or the standard “both sides” BS that passes so often for political journalism.
Discussion: The Lever
Reuters:
US soldier injured during Gaza pier operation has died  —  A U.S. Army soldier who was in critical condition after suffering non-combat injuries while supporting the military's pier off the coast of Gaza has died, the U.S. military said on Monday.  —  Sergeant Quandarius Davon Stanley …
Politico:
Election officials threaten consequences for counties trying to stop certification  —  State election officials stress that certifying elections is a ministerial function — local election officials are duty-bound to certify results, and that it is not optional.
 
 
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 More Items: 
Jake Bittle / Grist:
This California congressman is betting the farm on water
Associated Press:
Landmark Washington climate law faces possible repeal by voters
CBS News:
“They're very scared”: Migrants anxiously monitor U.S. election, fearing Trump win
Discussion: Al Jazeera
 Earlier Items: 
Tatyana Tandanpolie / Salon:
“I am scared every day”: Experts say GOP men targeting no-fault divorce to keep women “trapped”
Josh Christenson / New York Post:
Harris botched interview with Muslim influencer by celebrating ‘bacon’ as ‘a spice’
Erica Pandey / Axios:
Poll: Harris has massive lead among swing state college students
Discussion: USA Today and Black America Web
 

 
From Mediagazer:

Brian Steinberg / Variety:
Sources: NBCUniversal Vice Chairman Bonnie Hammer plans to leave the company at the end of the year; she has been with the company since 2004

Ashley Carman / Bloomberg:
A growing number of podcasters, including Tim Ferriss, are moving away from interviews to monologues or co-hosts, as some well-known guests can be overexposed

Jonathan Stempel / Reuters:
A New York judge finds Sirius XM liable for a difficult subscription cancellation process; Sirius says it will appeal but abide by a new “click-to-cancel” rule

 
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