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2:10 AM ET, November 5, 2024

memeorandum

 Top Items: 
Jon Ralston / The Nevada Independent:
Editor Jon Ralston's 2024 Nevada election predictions  —  I should have done the mic drop in 2022.  —  Picking the winners in the top two races, both of which were agonizingly close, should have been the swan song, the ride off into the sunset on my oracular career.
RELATED:
Sabato's Crystal Ball:
Our Final 2024 Ratings  —  We mentioned a few weeks ago that we misplaced our Crystal Ball.  As an update, we regret to say that we still have not found it.  So no final ratings this year.  Have fun on Tuesday!  —  ...  ...  ...  OK, fine, we'll give it a try.
Discussion: Des Moines Register
Tara Suter / The Hill:
Election forecaster predicts 218-217 House  —  Sabato's Crystal Ball, a prominent election forecaster, predicted Monday that this year's elections will result in a House divided by one vote.  —  “Just like the presidential race, the battle for the House has been a Toss-up for essentially the whole cycle …
Henry Olsen / New York Post:
This race is close but I'm predicting Donald Trump wins the Electoral College — and possibly the popular vote
Casey Newton / Platformer:
X's plan to interfere with the election  —  With polls essentially tied and hours to go until Election Day, no one knows for certain who will win the 2024 US presidential election.  But we can say with some certainty what will happen if the result is anything other than a landslide victory for Donald Trump …
Discussion: IJR
RELATED:
Renee DiResta / The UnPopulist:
The MAGA Propaganda Machine Has Successfully Censored Voices Calling Out its Lies  —  In 2020, the U.S. found itself in the midst of an unprecedented election—one defined not only by candidates or policies, but by a fight over what was real.  During that election, I was one of the leaders …
Courtney Cohn / Democracy Docket:
Georgia Judge Rejects Third Lawsuit From GOP Fulton County Election Official  —  A Georgia judge rejected a third lawsuit from Julie Adams — a GOP member of the Fulton County Board of Elections and Registration — seeking additional election records she claims she needs to certify tomorrow's election results.
Discussion: Florida Phoenix and New York Times
RELATED:
Andy Kroll / ProPublica:
Trump Claims “Illegal Alien” Voting Is Rampant. His Own Party Disagrees.
Marc A. Caputo / The Bulwark:
Trump Stepped on a Rake Yesterday—and He Knew It  —  DONALD TRUMP DOESN'T ADMIT TO MISTAKES, but he knew he made one Sunday morning.  —  For 96 minutes, at his first of his three rallies that day, Trump barely looked at his teleprompter.  He darkly obsessed about election fraud …
Discussion: Raw Story and Progress Pond
RELATED:
Rebecca Falconer / Axios:
Joe Rogan endorses Trump on eve of Election Day … - “If it wasn't for him we'd be f—ked,” Rogan wrote in the post, which links to his interview with Musk.  — “He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you'll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way.
RELATED:
Amanda Moore / Politico:
A Trump Field Director Was Fired for Being a White Nationalist  —  A white nationalist worked on the Trump campaign in an important position in Pennsylvania for five months — until Friday, when the Pennsylvania GOP fired him after learning about his views from my reporting.
Discussion: Raw Story and Mediaite
RELATED:
Jonathan Edwards / Washington Post:   Trump organizer who secretly hosted white-nationalist podcast is fired
Malcolm Ferguson / New Republic:
Trump Announces Dumbest Person You Know Will Lead Missile Defense … Herschel Walker is back and ready to lead our country's missile defense system.  —  That is not some cruel joke, but a very real thing Donald Trump proposed at his Georgia rally on Sunday—minutes after Walker confused …
Federal Bureau of Investigation:
Joint ODNI, FBI, and CISA Statement  —  Today, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) released the following statement:  —  Since our statement on Friday …
CNN:
A pro-Trump influencer says a Russian agent paid him $100 to post a fake voter fraud video.  It wasn't the first time  —  An American social media influencer said he was paid $100 by a pro-Kremlin propagandist to post a fake video of Haitian immigrants claiming to vote in the US presidential election.
Discussion: Raw Story, Forbes and WPMT
Maryclaire Dale / Associated Press:
Elon Musk's $1 million-a-day voter sweepstakes can proceed, a Pennsylvania judge says  —  The $1 million-a-day voter sweepstakes that Elon Musk 's political action committee is hosting in swing states can continue through Tuesday's presidential election, a Pennsylvania judge ruled Monday.
RELATED:
Michael McDonald / Michael's Newsletter:
North Carolina Forecast Outcome  —  North Carolina early voting has neared its end, with only a few mail ballots left to be cast.  So, like mostly-concluded Georgia, I can now make a forecast for North Carolina's election outcome based on the early vote.  —  The good news for Donald …
Wall Street Journal:
Russia Suspected of Plotting to Send Incendiary Devices on U.S.-Bound Planes  —  Two devices that ignited in Europe, officials say, were part of a covert operation to put them on cargo or passenger aircraft  —  Western security officials say they believe that two incendiary devices …
RELATED:
Bloomberg:   Russia Suspected of Plotting to Send US Incendiary Devices
Chris Cameron / New York Times:
Tucker Carlson Says Abortions Cause Hurricanes in Election Eve Broadcast  —  In a podcast appearance, Tucker Carlson dismissed scientific research that links global warming to more potent and frequent hurricanes, saying instead that “it's probably abortion, actually.”
Reuters:
US soldier injured during Gaza pier operation has died  —  A U.S. Army soldier who was in critical condition after suffering non-combat injuries while supporting the military's pier off the coast of Gaza has died, the U.S. military said on Monday.  —  Sergeant Quandarius Davon Stanley …
Tatyana Tandanpolie / Salon:
“I am scared every day”: Experts say GOP men targeting no-fault divorce to keep women “trapped”  —  As worries grow after Dobbs, experts fear restricting no-fault divorce could be a death sentence for some women  —  Raquell Barton was knee-deep in her doctorate program at the University …
Ryan J. Reilly / NBC News:
Proud Boys claim they'll be at polling places as Trump ups violent rhetoric and election fraud claims  —  Though several Proud Boys leaders remain in prison on Jan. 6 charges, the far-right militia group remains active, with some chapters saying they'll watch the polls Tuesday.
US Department of Justice:
Man Arrested and Charged with Attempting to Use a Weapon of Mass Destruction and to Destroy an Energy Facility in Nashville  —  For Immediate Release  —  View the complaint here.  —  Skyler Philippi, 24, of Columbia, Tennessee, was arrested by federal agents and charged with attempting …
Sareen Habeshian / Axios:
JD Vance calls for loving fellow Americans before labeling Harris “trash” … - He added: “I want to ask us not to follow Kamala Harris' terrible example.”  — Vance asked rally-goers not to discard lifelong relationships “because people vote the wrong way,” saying, “Here in our movement, we love every citizen of this country.
Anna Slatz / Reduxx:
Algerian Boxer Imane Khelif Has XY Chromosomes And “Testicles” : French-Algerian Medical Report Admits  —  A shocking new development has emerged in the case of Algerian boxer Imane Khelif after a French journalist reportedly gained access to a damning medical report revealing Khelif has “testicles.”
 
 
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 More Items: 
Andrew Solender / Axios:
These are the “canary” House races to watch on Nov. 5
Andrew Kerr / freebeacon.com:
Angela Alsobrooks Slapped With Election Eve Ethics Complaint Over Unpaid Property Taxes
Discussion: National Legal …
Caralee Adams / Internet Archive Blogs:
Vanishing Culture: Q&A with Philip Bump, The Washington Post
Erica Pandey / Axios:
Poll: Harris has massive lead among swing state college students
Discussion: USA Today and Black America Web
 Earlier Items: 
Associated Press:
Some Republican-led states refuse to let Justice Department monitors into polling places
Freddy Brewster / The Lever:
The Dark Money Kingpin Behind Election-Day Chaos
Discussion: Chicago Boyz
Anna Betts / The Guardian:
Illinois man arrested after punching election judge at polling location
Discussion: Fox News and The Independent
Mark Leibovich / The Atlantic:
How to Get Through Election Day  —  Store up some enlightenment for the white-knuckle hours ahead.
Discussion: The Daily Caller
Jennifer Bendery / HuffPost:
Mini Poop Statues Appear At D.C.'s Mysterious Turd Monument ‘Honoring’ Trump
Discussion: Raw Story
Josephine Harvey / HuffPost:
‘I Saw It From The Inside’: Ex-Trump Administration Lawyer Echoes Forceful Warning
Discussion: Raw Story
Hillel Italie / Associated Press:
Quincy Jones, music titan who worked with everyone from Frank Sinatra to Michael Jackson, dies at 91